Peer-reviewed Publications
- Cairns K J , Marshall A H (2011) "Assessment of the benefits of Discrete Conditional Survival Models in modelling ambulance response times", International Journal of Health Management and Information (IJHMI), 2, pp. 1-23.
- Cairns K J , Marshall A H, Kee F (2011) "Using Simulation to assess Cardiac First-Responder Schemes exhibiting Stochastic and Spatial Complexities", J Opl Res Soc, 62, pp. 982-991.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2011) "Investigating the efficiency of fitting Coxian phase-type distributions to health care data", IMA J Management Math, doi: 10.1093/imaman/dpr008.
- Kee F, Erridge S, Bradbury I, Cairns K J (2010) "The value of positron emission tomography in patients with non-small cell lung cancer", European Journal of Radiology, 73, pp. 50-58.
- Cairns K J, Hamilton A J, Marshall A H, Moore M J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2008) "The obstacles to maximising the impact of Public Access Defibrillation. An assessment of the dispatch mechanism for Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest", Heart, 94, pp. 349-353.
- Moore M J, Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Glover B M, McCann C J, Jordan J E, Kee F, Adgey A A J (2008) "The Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation (NIPAD) Study: effectiveness in Urban and Rural Populations", Heart, 94, pp. 1614-1619.
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Savage G, Kee F, Maxwell A P, Reaney E, Fogarty D G (2008) "The Practical Implications of Using Standardised Estimation Equations in Calculating the Prevalence of Chronic Kidney Disease", Nephrol. Dial. Transplant., 23, pp. 542-548.
- Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Quinn M P, Savage G, Fogarty D (2008) "The effects of anti-hypertensive drugs evaluated using Markov modelling for Northern Ireland Chronic Kidney Disease patients", Proceedings of the 21st IEEE International Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems, Jyväskylä, Finland: pp.530-535.
- Marshall A H, Cairns K J, Kee F, Moore M J, Hamilton A J, Adgey A A J (2006) "A Monte Carlo Simulation Model to Assess Volunteer Response Times in a
Public Access Defibrillation Scheme in Northern Ireland", Proceedings of the 19th IEEE International Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems, Salt Lake City, pp. 783 - 788.
- Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F (2005) "A Public Access Defibrillation Trial in Urban and Rural
Communities in Northern Ireland: Developing the Roster Model", Proceedings of the 18th IEEE International Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems, Dublin, pp. 497-502.
Other conference/talk contributions
2012
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Kee F, O'Doherty M, Cairns K J (2012) "Effect of major lifestyle risk factors on life expectancy and life expectancy free from CHD and stroke",
Consortium on Health and Ageing Network of Cohorts in Europe and the United States (CHANCES) meeting, 6th February 2012, University College London, London, UK.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J, McCall E, Craig S (2012) "Statistical Modelling of the NICORE Data",
Northern Ireland Neonatal Clinicians, January 2012, Royal Maternity
Hospital, Belfast, UK.
2011
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McCrink L, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2011) "Joint Modelling of Longitudinal and Survival Data: A comparison of Joint and Independent Models", 58th ISI World Statistics Congress, The International Statistical Institute, 21-26 August 2011, Dublin, Ireland.
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McCrink L, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2011) "A Comparison of Marginal and Multilevel models: Modelling haemoglobin variability for haemodialysis patients", Young Statisticians Meeting, Satellite Event of the 58th ISI World Congress, The International Statistical Institute, 19-21 August 2011, Dublin, Ireland, p. 68.
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McCrink L, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2011) "Simultaneously Modelling Patients' Haemoglobin Variability and Survival: A Joint Model Approach", Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 18-20 May 2011, Galway, Ireland, p. 96.
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McCrink L, Marshall A H, Cairns K J, Fogarty D, Casula A (2011) "The use of longitudinal techniques to identify the characteristics associated with haemoglobin variability in haemodialysis patients", BRS/RA Conference 2011, The British Renal Society, 6-9 June 2011, Birmingham, UK.
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McQuillan J, Marshall A H and Cairns K J (2011) "Using Conditional Phase-Type Distributions to Model Elderly Patient's Length of Stay in Northern Ireland Hospitals",
The 31st Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 18-20 May 2011, The Galway Bay Hotel, Salthill, Co. Galway, Ireland.
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McQuillan J, Marshall A H and Cairns K J (2011) "Using Conditional Phase-Type Distributions to Model Hospital Length of Stay of Geriatric Patients-Identifying Patient Characteristics Influencing Discharge Destination", Young Statisticians Meeting Satellite Event of the 58th ISI World Congress, 19-21 August 2011, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland, p.71.
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McQuillan J, Marshall A H, Cairns K J and Payne K (2011) "Modelling Length of Stay of Elderly Patients in Hospital in Northern Ireland Using the Discrete Conditional Phase-Type Distribution with a Bayesian Network Component",
ORAHS 2011, 24-29 July 2011, Cardiff University, UK, p. 65.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2011) "Coxian Phase-type modelling of elderly patients in hospital", Young OR (YOR17), 5-7 April 2011, Nottingham, UK, p. 43.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J, McCall E, Craig S (2011) "Statistical Modelling of the NICORE Data",
NICORE Steering Group Meeting, 28th November 2011, Royal Maternity Hospital,
Belfast, UK.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J, McCall E, Craig S (2011) "Modelling the development of late-onset sepsis and corresponding length of stay
within preterm neonatal care",
4th International Conference of the ERCIM WG on Computing & Statistics,
17-19 December 2011, University of London, UK, pp. 114.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J, McCall E, Craig S (2011) "Identifying factors effecting length of stay within neonatal care using Discrete Conditional phase-type models",
Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 18-20 May 2011, Galway, Ireland, p. 46.
2010
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Cairns K J, Allen C R, Marshall A H (2010) "Assessing different deployment plans of a colorectal screening programme through discrete event simulation", 36th Annual Conference on Operational Research Applied to Health Services (ORAHS), 18-23 July 2010, Genova, Italy, p. 57.
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Cairns K J, Allen C R, Marshall A H (2010) "Evaluating different deployment plans of a colorectal screening programme through discrete event simulation", Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 16-18 May 2010, Portrush, UK, pp. 19-20.
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McCrink L, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2010) "Comparison of Marginal and Random Effects Models: The effect of age on renal function", Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 16-18 May 2010, Portrush, UK, pp. 77-78.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2010) "Clustering Geriatric Patients using Continuous Markov Models", Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 16-18 May 2010, Portrush, UK, pp. 98-99.
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Payne K, Marshall A H, Cairns K J (2010) "Investigating Approaches for Efficient Fitting of
Coxian Phase-type Distributions for Healthcare Data", 6th IMA Conference on Quantitative Modelling in the Management of Health Care, 29-31 March 2010, London, UK, pp.40-41.
2009
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Cairns K J, Allen C R, Marshall A H (2009) "Using Discrete Event Simulation to assess the impact of a colorectal screening programme", Royal Statistical Society (RSS) Conference, 7-11 September 2009, Edinburgh, UK, p. 79.
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H (2009) "Assessment of the benefits of Discrete Conditional Survival Models in modelling ambulance response times", 35th Annual Conference on Operational Research Applied to Health Services (ORAHS), 12-17 July 2009, Leuven, Belgium (ISBN: 9789081409902, 8 pages).
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H (2009) "Using simulation to assess a novel public health scheme with spatial complexities", 23rd European Conference on Operational Research (EURO XXIII), 5-8 July 2009, Bonn, Germany.
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H (2009) "Building a simulation-based model to assess a novel public health scheme with stochastic and spatial complexities", Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, 13-15 May 2009, Mullingar, Ireland, pp. 37-38.
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H (2009) "Building a simulation-based model to assess the cost-effectiveness of cardiac First-Responder schemes", Young Operational Research Conference 16 (YOR 16), 24-26 March 2009, University of Warwick, Warwickshire, UK.
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Kee F, Cairns K J, Hamilton A J, Marshall A H, Adgey A A J (2009) "Cost-utility analysis of a mobile cardiac first responder scheme in a rural geography", 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 18-21 October 2009, Holywood, USA.
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Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2009) "A logistic regression model to predict the occurrence of ventricular fibrillation in out of hospital cardiac arrest", European Society of Cardiology Congress 2009, Barcelona, Spain, European Heart J 30, Abstract supplement p. 17 (Oral 253).
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Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2009) "Risk factors in patients with an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest", European Society of Cardiology Congress 2009, Barcelona, Spain, European Heart J 30, Abstract supplement p. 963 (Poster 5434).
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Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2009) "A logistic regression model to predict the occurrence of ventricular fibrillation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest", British Cardiovascular Society, 1-3 June 2009, London, UK, Heart 95, Supplement 1, p. A7.
2008
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Hamilton A J, Kee F (2008) "Assessing the cost-effectiveness of first-responder Public Access Defibrillation schemes via simulation", Centenary Symposium on Mathematical and Statistical Modelling in Medicine and Health Science, 28 October, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast.
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Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F (2008) "Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a mobile first-responder public access defibrillation scheme in a rural region", European Society For Medical Decision Making (ESMDM) Conference, 1-4 June, Engelberg, Switzerland.
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Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Moore M J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2008) "The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a mobile first-responder public access defibrillation scheme", European Society of Cardiology Congress 2008, Munich, Germany, European Heart J 29, Abstract supplement p. 857 (Poster 4876).
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Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Moore M J, Kee F, Adgey A A J (2008) "The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a public access defibrillation scheme", 59th Annual General Meeting of the Irish Cardiac Society, Galway, Ireland, Irish Journal of Medical Science 177, Supplement 12, pp. S396-424.
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Hamilton A J, Jordan J E, Moore M J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2008) "The experience of lay first responders in the Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation (NIPAD) Project", 77th Meeting of Ulster Society of Internal Medicine, Londonderry, UK, Ulster Med J 77, (2), p.138.
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Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2008) "Risk factors in patients with an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest", 77th Meeting of Ulster Society of Internal Medicine, Londonderry, UK, Ulster Med J 77, (2), p.139.
2007
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Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Moore M J, Marshall A H, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2007) "A Public Access Defibrillation Scheme in Northern Ireland: The Impact of the Emergency Services Dispatch Mechanism on the Success of the Scheme", 58th Annual General Meeting of the Irish Cardiac Society, Holywood, UK, Irish Journal of Medical Science 176, Supplement 7, pp. S295-336.
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Hamilton A J, Jordan J E, Moore M J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2007) "The experience of lay first responders in the Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation Project", 58th Annual General Meeting of the Irish Cardiac Society, Holywood, UK, Irish Journal of Medical Science 176, Supplement 7, pp. S295-336.
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Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2007) "Risk factors in patients with an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest", 58th Annual General Meeting of the Irish Cardiac Society, Holywood, UK, Irish Journal of Medical Science 176, Supplement 7, pp. S295-336.
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Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Cairns K J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2007) "Risk factors in patients with an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest", British Cardiovascular Society, Glasgow, UK, Heart 93, Supplement 1, p. A91 (abstract 235).
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Kee F, Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Moore M J, Marshall A H, Jordan J, Adgey A A J (2007) "Lessons learned from the Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation project: implications for public health", Research and Development Office Conference, 26 September, W5, Belfast.
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Moore M J, Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Glover B M, Ferguson P, Gray D, Marshall A H, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2007) "A study of the effectiveness of Public Access Defibrillation in urban and rural populations in Northern Ireland: The Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation (NIPAD) study", British Cardiovascular Society, Glasgow, UK, Heart 93, Supplement 1, p. A65 (abstract 161).
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Moore M J, Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Glover B M, Ferguson P, Gray D, Marshall A H, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2007) "A study of the effectiveness of public access defibrillation in urban and rural populations in Northern Ireland: The Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation (NIPAD) study", 58th Annual General Meeting of the Irish Cardiac Society, Holywood, UK, Irish Journal of Medical Science 176, Supplement 7, pp. S295-336.
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Fogarty D (2007), "Estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR): predicting progression is dependent on accuracy", QJM 100 (6), pp. 390-391.
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "Managing Nephrology Outpatients-Too many inappropriate referrals? Not enough nephrologists.", UK Consensus Conference on Early
Chronic Kidney Disease, Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK, Nephrol. Dial. Transplant., 22, Supplement 9, pp. 57.
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "Standarising Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rates (eGFR): Do Laboratory Methods Really Matter in Practice?", The Renal Association Annual Conference, Brighton
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "Standarising Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rates (eGFR): Do Laboratory Methods Really Matter in Practice?", European Renal Association Annual Conference, Barcelona, Spain, Nephrol. Dial. Transplant., 22, Supplement 6, pp. 85-86.
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007), "Standardising eGFR Equations: Implications for CKD Epidemiology and Practice", The American Society of Nephrology, San Francisco, California
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Quinn M, Rainey A, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007), "Use of &Delta eGFR in Assessing Progression, Regression and Mortality of Chronic Kidney Disease", The American Society of Nephrology, San Francisco, California
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Rainey A, Quinn M, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "&Delta eGFR: An intuitive method of assessing progression and regression of chronic kidney disease (CKD).", UK Consensus Conference on Early Chronic Kidney Disease, Royal College of Physicians of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK, Nephrol. Dial. Transplant., 22, Supplement 9, pp. 58.
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Rainey A, Quinn M, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "Making the Most of Nephrology Clinics: &Delta eGFR an Intuitive Method of Assessing Progression and Regression of Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD)", The Renal Association Annual Conference, Brighton
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Rainey A, Quinn M, Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "Getting the most from nephrology outpatients: &Delta eGFR an intuitive method of assessing progression and regression of chronic kidney disease (CKD)", European Renal Association Annual Conference, Barcelona, Spain, Nephrol. Dial. Transplant., 22, Supplement 6, pp. 76-77.
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Rainey A, Marshall A H, Cairns K J, Quinn M, Savage G, Fogarty D (2007) "Developing A 3 State Markov Model For Northern Ireland Chronic Kidney Disease Patients", Annual Conference on Applied Statistics in Ireland (CASI), The Irish Statistical Association, Dundrum, County Tipperary
2006
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2006) "A Monte Carlo Simulation Model to Assess the Impact of a Public Access Defibrillation Scheme in Northern Ireland", Royal Statistical Society Conference, Belfast.
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Cairns K J, Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Marshall A H, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2006) "A Public Access Defibrillation scheme in Northern Ireland: the impact of the emergency medical services dispatch mechanism on the success of the scheme", Second North American Congress of Epidemiology, Seattle, USA, Am. J. Epidemiol., 163 (Suppl.): S5.
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Hamilton A J, Moore M J, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2006) "A Public Access Defibrillation scheme in Northern Ireland: building a simulation model to assess its impact", Annual Presentation at House of Commons for UK National Science Week, London, UK.
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Moore M J, Hamilton A J, Cairns K J, Ferguson P, Gray D, Marshall A H, Adgey A A J, Kee F (2006) "A Study of the Effectiveness of Public Access Defibrillation in Urban and Rural Populations in Northern Ireland: The Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation (NIPAD) Study", American Heart Association Scientific Sessions 2006, Chicago, USA, Circulation 114, Issue 18 Supplement (Session X. Abstract II_1199).
2005
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Cairns K J, Marshall A H, Kee F, Moore M J, Adgey A A J (2005) "A Public Access Defibrillation scheme in Northern Ireland: exploring the impact of a mobile volunteer's availability", 27th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making, San Francisco, USA, Medical Decision Making, 26: E63
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Moore M J, Cairns K J, Glover B M, McCann C J, Ferguson P, Gray D, Marshall A H, Kee F, Adgey A A J (2005) "The Methodology and Rationale for the Northern Ireland Public Access Defibrillation (NIPAD) Trial", Abstract of the Annual General Meeting of the Irish Cardiac Society, Killarney, Ireland, Irish Journal of Medical Science, 174 (Suppl 1): 18.
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